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Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, Industrial Production, Philly Fed Mfg, NY Fed Mfg

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by Calculated Risk on 9/14/2022 08:33:00 PM

Thursday:
o At 8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for an increase to 225 thousand from 222 thousand last week.

o Also, at 8:30 AM ET: Retail sales for August will be released. The consensus is for a 0.2% increase in retail sales.

o Also, at 8:30 AM: the Philly Fed manufacturing survey for September. The consensus is for a reading of 3.5, down from 6.2.

o Also, at 8:30 AM ET: The New York Fed Empire State manufacturing survey for September. The consensus is for a reading of -13.9, up from -31.3.

o At 9:15 AM: The Fed will release Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization for August. The consensus is for a 0.2% increase in Industrial Production, and for Capacity Utilization to increase to 80.3%.

On COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):

COVID MetricsNowWeekAgoGoalNew Cases per Day260,55875,629<=5,0001Hospitalized228,23829,848<=3,0001Deaths per Day2350352<=5011my goals to stop daily posts,27-day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths? Increasing 7-day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Goal met.

Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7-day average (line) of deaths reported.

Average daily deaths bottomed in July 2021 at 214 per day.

In One Chart: Is the stock market already pricing in a recession? What the S&P 500’s tumble shows.

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